776 lines
34 KiB
TypeScript
776 lines
34 KiB
TypeScript
/**
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* Hot Topics Engine — Discovers trending blog topics from multiple sources
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*
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* Sources:
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* 1. OFC/ECOC/CIOE conference papers + announcements
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* 2. Manufacturer press releases (InnoLight, Coherent, Broadcom, Marvell, Lumentum)
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* 3. Trade press (Lightwave, Fibre Systems, Gazettabyte, LightCounting)
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* 4. arXiv papers (cs.NI, eess.SP, physics.optics)
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* 5. Internal: price movements, new competitor products, hype cycle shifts
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* 6. University research groups (TU/e, UCL, DTU, Columbia, UCSB)
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*/
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import { Router } from "express";
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import { pool } from "../db/client";
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import { computeAllHypeCycles, TECH_GENERATIONS } from "../hype-cycle/norton-bass";
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export const hotTopicsRouter = Router();
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interface HotTopic {
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title: string;
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description: string;
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blog_type: string;
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urgency: "breaking" | "hot" | "trending" | "emerging";
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source: string;
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source_type: "conference" | "manufacturer" | "trade_press" | "research" | "internal_data" | "competitor";
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data_context?: Record<string, unknown>;
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suggested_angle?: string;
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date?: string;
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blog_title_created?: boolean;
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last_blog_created_at?: string;
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rank_score?: number;
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llm_context?: string;
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}
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/**
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* GET /api/hot-topics
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*
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* Returns dynamically ranked blog topics based on real signals.
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*/
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hotTopicsRouter.get("/", async (req, res) => {
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try {
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const topics: HotTopic[] = [];
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const year = new Date().getFullYear();
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const limit = Math.max(1, Math.min(50, parseInt(String(req.query.limit || "20"), 10) || 20));
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// ═══ SOURCE 1: Internal Data — Price Movements ═══
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const priceDrops = await pool.query(`
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SELECT v.name AS vendor, t.form_factor, t.speed_gbps, t.reach_label,
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pc.old_price, pc.new_price, pc.delta_pct, pc.currency, pc.detected_at
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FROM price_changes pc
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JOIN vendors v ON pc.vendor_id = v.id
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JOIN transceivers t ON pc.transceiver_id = t.id
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WHERE pc.delta_pct < -10 AND pc.detected_at > NOW() - INTERVAL '14 days'
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ORDER BY pc.delta_pct ASC LIMIT 5
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`).catch(() => ({ rows: [] }));
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for (const drop of priceDrops.rows) {
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topics.push({
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title: `${drop.vendor} drops ${drop.form_factor} ${drop.speed_gbps}G prices by ${Math.abs(Math.round(drop.delta_pct))}%`,
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description: `${drop.form_factor} ${drop.speed_gbps}G ${drop.reach_label} went from ${drop.currency} ${drop.old_price} to ${drop.currency} ${drop.new_price}. Market signal or clearance?`,
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blog_type: "market_alert",
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urgency: Math.abs(drop.delta_pct) > 20 ? "breaking" : "hot",
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source: drop.vendor,
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source_type: "competitor",
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data_context: drop,
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suggested_angle: `Price war analysis: Why ${drop.vendor} is cutting ${drop.speed_gbps}G pricing and what it means for procurement`,
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date: drop.detected_at ? new Date(drop.detected_at).toISOString() : undefined,
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});
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}
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// ═══ SOURCE 2: Internal Data — New Competitor Products ═══
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const newProducts = await pool.query(`
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SELECT ca.product_name, ca.form_factor, ca.speed_gbps, ca.source_url,
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v.name AS vendor, ca.created_at
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FROM competitor_alerts ca
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JOIN vendors v ON ca.vendor_id = v.id
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WHERE ca.alert_type = 'new_product' AND ca.created_at > NOW() - INTERVAL '14 days'
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ORDER BY ca.speed_gbps DESC, ca.created_at DESC LIMIT 5
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`).catch(() => ({ rows: [] }));
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if (newProducts.rows.length > 0) {
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const vendors = [...new Set(newProducts.rows.map(p => p.vendor))];
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const speeds = [...new Set(newProducts.rows.map(p => p.speed_gbps + "G"))];
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topics.push({
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title: `${newProducts.rows.length} new transceiver products from ${vendors.slice(0, 3).join(", ")}`,
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description: `New ${speeds.join("/")} products spotted. Competitive landscape shifting.`,
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blog_type: "competitor_analysis",
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urgency: "hot",
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source: "TIP Scraper",
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source_type: "internal_data",
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data_context: { products: newProducts.rows },
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suggested_angle: `Competitor roundup: What ${vendors[0]} and others just launched — and what it means for your next PO`,
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date: newProducts.rows[0]?.created_at ? new Date(newProducts.rows[0].created_at).toISOString() : undefined,
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});
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}
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// ═══ SOURCE 3: Internal Data — Hype Cycle Phase Transitions ═══
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const hypes = computeAllHypeCycles(year);
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const transitions = hypes.filter(h => {
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const tech = TECH_GENERATIONS.find(t => t.name === h.technology);
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if (!tech) return false;
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// Technologies near phase boundaries are interesting
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return (h.positionPct > 25 && h.positionPct < 35) || // Entering trough
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(h.positionPct > 48 && h.positionPct < 55) || // Leaving trough
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(h.positionPct > 78 && h.positionPct < 85); // Entering plateau
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});
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for (const t of transitions.slice(0, 2)) {
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const phaseName = t.phase.replace(/_/g, " ").toLowerCase();
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topics.push({
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title: `${t.technology} entering ${phaseName}`,
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description: `Adoption at ${Math.round(t.adoptionPct)}%. This phase transition means pricing and availability shifts.`,
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blog_type: "hype_cycle",
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urgency: "trending",
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source: "Norton-Bass Model",
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source_type: "internal_data",
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data_context: { phase: t.phase, adoption: t.adoptionPct, position: t.positionPct },
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suggested_angle: `${t.technology} phase shift: What it means for your ${year} infrastructure budget`,
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});
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}
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// ═══ SOURCE 3b: Market Intelligence — Real scraped signals ═══
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const marketIntel = await pool.query(`
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SELECT title, summary, intel_type, relevance_score, buy_signal_implication,
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technologies, source_name, published_at, impact_horizon_months
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FROM market_intelligence
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WHERE relevance_score > 0.6
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ORDER BY relevance_score DESC, published_at DESC NULLS LAST
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LIMIT 12
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`).catch(() => ({ rows: [] }));
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const intelTypeToUrgency: Record<string, HotTopic["urgency"]> = {
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supply_chain: "hot", distributor_lead_time: "hot", capex_cycle: "trending",
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standard_draft: "emerging", standard_ratified: "trending", trade_show: "hot",
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tender: "trending", market_share: "trending", technology_launch: "hot", price_movement: "breaking"
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};
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const intelTypeToBlogType: Record<string, string> = {
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supply_chain: "market_alert", distributor_lead_time: "market_alert", capex_cycle: "market_alert",
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standard_draft: "technology_deep_dive", standard_ratified: "technology_deep_dive",
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trade_show: "technology_deep_dive", tender: "market_alert", price_movement: "market_alert",
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};
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const buySignalToAngle: Record<string, string> = {
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bullish: "Why now is the right time to buy",
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bearish: "Why you should wait before ordering",
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opportunity: "Strategic window: Short-term opportunity for procurement",
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neutral: "Market context for your next procurement decision",
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};
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for (const m of marketIntel.rows) {
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const techList = Array.isArray(m.technologies) ? (m.technologies as string[]).join(", ") : "";
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const angle = m.buy_signal_implication
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? buySignalToAngle[m.buy_signal_implication] || m.buy_signal_implication
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: "What this means for your network planning";
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topics.push({
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title: m.title,
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description: m.summary || `${m.intel_type?.replace(/_/g, " ")} signal from ${m.source_name || "market data"}.`,
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blog_type: intelTypeToBlogType[m.intel_type] || "market_alert",
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urgency: intelTypeToUrgency[m.intel_type] || "trending",
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source: m.source_name || "Market Intelligence",
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source_type: "trade_press",
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data_context: {
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intel_type: m.intel_type,
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relevance: m.relevance_score,
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buy_signal: m.buy_signal_implication,
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technologies: techList,
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impact_months: m.impact_horizon_months,
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},
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suggested_angle: `${m.title}: ${angle}`,
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date: m.published_at ? new Date(m.published_at).toISOString() : undefined,
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});
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}
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// ═══ SOURCE 3c: NOG Conference Talks — scraped from NOG agendas ═══
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const nogTalks = await pool.query(`
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SELECT title, source, source_url, published_at, relevance_score
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FROM news_articles
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WHERE source LIKE 'NOG Talks:%'
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AND relevance_score > 0.4
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AND published_at > NOW() - INTERVAL '6 months'
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ORDER BY relevance_score DESC, published_at DESC NULLS LAST
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LIMIT 8
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`).catch(() => ({ rows: [] }));
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// Cluster NOG talks by NOG name
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type NogRow = (typeof nogTalks.rows)[number];
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const nogByEvent: Record<string, NogRow[]> = {};
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for (const n of nogTalks.rows) {
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const event = (n.source as string).replace("NOG Talks: ", "");
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if (!nogByEvent[event]) nogByEvent[event] = [];
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nogByEvent[event].push(n);
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}
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for (const [event, talks] of Object.entries(nogByEvent)) {
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const topTalk = (talks as NogRow[])[0];
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topics.push({
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title: talks.length === 1
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? `[${event}] ${topTalk.title}`
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: `${event}: ${talks.length} optics-relevant talks`,
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description: (talks as NogRow[]).map(t => t.title).slice(0, 3).join(" | "),
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blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
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urgency: "hot",
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source: event,
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source_type: "conference",
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data_context: { talks: (talks as NogRow[]).slice(0, 3) },
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suggested_angle: `What ${event} presenters are actually deploying — lessons for your network refresh`,
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date: topTalk.published_at ? new Date(topTalk.published_at).toISOString() : undefined,
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});
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}
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// ═══ SOURCE 4: News Articles — Recent Industry News ═══
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const recentNews = await pool.query(`
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SELECT title, source, source_url, category, published_at,
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COALESCE(relevance_score, 5) AS relevance
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FROM news_articles
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WHERE source NOT LIKE 'NOG Talks:%'
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AND published_at > NOW() - INTERVAL '14 days'
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ORDER BY relevance_score DESC NULLS LAST, published_at DESC
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LIMIT 12
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`).catch(() => ({ rows: [] }));
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// Cluster news by theme
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type NewsRow = (typeof recentNews.rows)[number];
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const newsThemes: Record<string, NewsRow[]> = {};
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for (const n of recentNews.rows) {
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const theme = detectNewsTheme(n.title);
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if (!newsThemes[theme]) newsThemes[theme] = [];
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newsThemes[theme].push(n);
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}
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for (const [theme, articles] of Object.entries(newsThemes)) {
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if (articles.length >= 1) {
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topics.push({
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title: `${theme}: ${articles.length} recent articles`,
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description: articles.map(a => a.title).slice(0, 3).join(" | "),
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blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
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urgency: "trending",
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source: articles.map(a => a.source).filter(Boolean).slice(0, 2).join(", ") || "Trade Press",
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source_type: "trade_press",
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data_context: { articles: articles.slice(0, 3) },
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suggested_angle: `${theme}: What the latest announcements actually mean for network operators`,
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date: articles[0]?.published_at ? new Date(articles[0].published_at).toISOString() : undefined,
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});
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}
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}
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// ═══ SOURCE 5: Conference Calendar — Upcoming/Recent Events ═══
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const conferences = getConferenceTopics(year);
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topics.push(...conferences);
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// ═══ SOURCE 6: Emerging Tech — Research-Driven Topics ═══
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topics.push(...getResearchTopics(year));
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// ═══ SOURCE 7: Evergreen High-Value Topics ═══
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topics.push(...getEvergreenTopics(year));
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// Mark already-created topics and rank with daily rotation + source diversity.
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const recentDrafts = await pool.query(`
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SELECT title, created_at
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FROM blog_drafts
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WHERE created_at > NOW() - INTERVAL '180 days'
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ORDER BY created_at DESC
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`).catch(() => ({ rows: [] }));
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const createdByTitle = new Map<string, string>();
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for (const draft of recentDrafts.rows) {
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const key = normalizeTopicTitle(String(draft.title || ""));
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if (key && !createdByTitle.has(key)) {
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createdByTitle.set(key, draft.created_at ? new Date(draft.created_at).toISOString() : new Date().toISOString());
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}
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}
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const daySeed = getDaySeed();
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const rotationSeed = daySeed + getQuerySeed(req.query.shuffle);
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for (const topic of topics) {
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const createdAt = createdByTitle.get(normalizeTopicTitle(topic.title));
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topic.blog_title_created = Boolean(createdAt);
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topic.last_blog_created_at = createdAt;
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topic.rank_score = scoreTopic(topic, rotationSeed);
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topic.llm_context = buildTopicBriefing(topic);
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}
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const rankedTopics = selectDiverseTopics(topics, limit);
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// Next daily rotation: tomorrow 00:00 UTC
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const tomorrow = new Date();
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tomorrow.setUTCDate(tomorrow.getUTCDate() + 1);
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tomorrow.setUTCHours(0, 0, 0, 0);
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res.json({
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topics: rankedTopics,
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total: topics.length,
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generated_at: new Date().toISOString(),
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refreshes_at: tomorrow.toISOString(),
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day_seed: daySeed,
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rotation_seed: rotationSeed,
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sources: ["market_intelligence", "nog_talks", "internal_price_data", "competitor_alerts", "hype_cycle_model", "news_articles", "conference_calendar", "research_papers"],
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});
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} catch (err) {
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console.error("Hot topics error:", err);
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res.status(500).json({ error: "Internal server error" });
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}
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});
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function normalizeTopicTitle(title: string): string {
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return title
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.toLowerCase()
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.replace(/\b20\d{2}\b/g, "{year}")
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.replace(/[^a-z0-9]+/g, " ")
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.replace(/\s+/g, " ")
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.trim();
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}
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function seededTopicJitter(title: string, seed: number): number {
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let s = seed;
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const normalized = normalizeTopicTitle(title);
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for (let i = 0; i < normalized.length; i++) {
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s = (s * 1664525 + normalized.charCodeAt(i) + 1013904223) & 0x7fffffff;
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}
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return s % 140;
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}
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function getQuerySeed(value: unknown): number {
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if (!value) return 0;
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const raw = Array.isArray(value) ? String(value[0] || "") : String(value);
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if (!raw) return 0;
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let hash = 0;
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for (let i = 0; i < raw.length; i++) {
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hash = ((hash << 5) - hash + raw.charCodeAt(i)) | 0;
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}
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return Math.abs(hash % 100000);
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}
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function compactDataContext(data: Record<string, unknown> | undefined): string {
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if (!data) return "";
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const replacer = (_key: string, value: unknown) => {
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if (Array.isArray(value)) return value.slice(0, 5);
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if (typeof value === "string" && value.length > 260) return `${value.slice(0, 257)}...`;
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return value;
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};
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return JSON.stringify(data, replacer, 2).slice(0, 1800);
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}
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function buildTopicBriefing(topic: HotTopic): string {
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const lines = [
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`Topic: ${topic.title}`,
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`Urgency: ${topic.urgency}`,
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`Source: ${topic.source_type} / ${topic.source}`,
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];
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if (topic.date) lines.push(`Signal date: ${topic.date}`);
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if (topic.description) lines.push(`Signal summary: ${topic.description}`);
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if (topic.suggested_angle) lines.push(`Recommended angle: ${topic.suggested_angle}`);
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if (topic.blog_title_created && topic.last_blog_created_at) {
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lines.push(`Editorial note: A blog with a very similar title already exists from ${topic.last_blog_created_at}. If used anyway, choose a materially different angle.`);
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}
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const dataContext = compactDataContext(topic.data_context);
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if (dataContext) lines.push(`Structured supporting data:\n${dataContext}`);
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lines.push("Editorial instruction: turn this into a practical optical networking article with procurement/engineering consequences, not a generic news summary.");
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return lines.join("\n");
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}
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function scoreTopic(topic: HotTopic, seed: number): number {
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const urgencyScore: Record<HotTopic["urgency"], number> = {
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breaking: 900,
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hot: 760,
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trending: 620,
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emerging: 500,
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};
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const sourceScore: Record<HotTopic["source_type"], number> = {
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internal_data: 90,
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competitor: 85,
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trade_press: 75,
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conference: 70,
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manufacturer: 65,
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research: 60,
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};
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let freshness = 0;
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if (topic.date) {
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const ageDays = Math.max(0, (Date.now() - new Date(topic.date).getTime()) / 86400000);
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freshness = Math.max(0, 90 - ageDays * 4);
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}
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const createdPenalty = topic.blog_title_created ? -950 : 0;
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return (
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(urgencyScore[topic.urgency] ?? 400) +
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(sourceScore[topic.source_type] ?? 40) +
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freshness +
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seededTopicJitter(topic.title, seed) +
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createdPenalty
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);
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}
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function selectDiverseTopics(topics: HotTopic[], limit: number): HotTopic[] {
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const sorted = [...topics].sort((a, b) => (b.rank_score ?? 0) - (a.rank_score ?? 0));
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const selected: HotTopic[] = [];
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const sourceTypeCount = new Map<string, number>();
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const sourceCount = new Map<string, number>();
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for (const topic of sorted) {
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if (selected.length >= limit) break;
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const sourceType = topic.source_type;
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const source = topic.source || "unknown";
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const typeCount = sourceTypeCount.get(sourceType) ?? 0;
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const srcCount = sourceCount.get(source) ?? 0;
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if (typeCount >= 5) continue;
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if (srcCount >= 3) continue;
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selected.push(topic);
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sourceTypeCount.set(sourceType, typeCount + 1);
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sourceCount.set(source, srcCount + 1);
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}
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if (selected.length < limit) {
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for (const topic of sorted) {
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if (selected.length >= limit) break;
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if (!selected.includes(topic)) selected.push(topic);
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}
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}
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return selected;
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}
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function detectNewsTheme(title: string): string {
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const tl = title.toLowerCase();
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if (tl.includes("800g") || tl.includes("osfp")) return "800G Deployment Wave";
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if (tl.includes("1.6t") || tl.includes("1.6 t")) return "1.6T Race";
|
|
if (tl.includes("silicon photonics") || tl.includes("sipho")) return "Silicon Photonics";
|
|
if (tl.includes("cpo") || tl.includes("co-packaged")) return "Co-Packaged Optics";
|
|
if (tl.includes("lpo") || tl.includes("linear")) return "Linear-Drive Pluggable";
|
|
if (tl.includes("400zr") || tl.includes("coherent")) return "Coherent Pluggable";
|
|
if (tl.includes("ai") || tl.includes("gpu") || tl.includes("ml")) return "AI/ML Fabric Optics";
|
|
if (tl.includes("innolight") || tl.includes("coherent corp") || tl.includes("broadcom")) return "Manufacturer Moves";
|
|
if (tl.includes("supply") || tl.includes("shortage") || tl.includes("lead time")) return "Supply Chain Alert";
|
|
return "Industry Update";
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function getConferenceTopics(year: number): HotTopic[] {
|
|
const now = new Date();
|
|
const month = now.getMonth() + 1;
|
|
const topics: HotTopic[] = [];
|
|
|
|
// OFC = March, ECOC = September, CIOE = September, Photonics West = January
|
|
if (month >= 1 && month <= 2) {
|
|
topics.push({
|
|
title: `Photonics West ${year}: What the Laser and Photonics Research Means for Transceivers`,
|
|
description: "SPIE Photonics West is where the component-level research lands first. What was shown and how long until it ships?",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: month === 1 ? "hot" : "trending",
|
|
source: "SPIE Photonics West",
|
|
source_type: "conference",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Photonics West signal reading: The research demos that become products in 2-3 years",
|
|
});
|
|
}
|
|
if (month >= 2 && month <= 4) {
|
|
topics.push({
|
|
title: `OFC ${year} Highlights: What was announced and what matters`,
|
|
description: "Post-show analysis of new product launches, standards updates, and technology demos from the industry's biggest event.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: month === 3 ? "breaking" : "hot",
|
|
source: "OFC Conference",
|
|
source_type: "conference",
|
|
suggested_angle: "OFC show floor reality: 5 announcements that actually change your procurement strategy",
|
|
});
|
|
}
|
|
if (month >= 5 && month <= 7) {
|
|
topics.push({
|
|
title: `NFOEC / OFC ${year} Follow-Up: Which Products Actually Shipped?`,
|
|
description: "Six months after OFC demos — checking which announcements turned into shipping hardware and which were still vapor.",
|
|
blog_type: "market_alert",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "OFC Conference Follow-Up",
|
|
source_type: "conference",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Post-OFC reality check: Announcement vs reality 6 months later",
|
|
});
|
|
}
|
|
if (month >= 8 && month <= 10) {
|
|
topics.push({
|
|
title: `ECOC ${year}: European market signals and new products`,
|
|
description: "Europe's largest optical communications conference. Key for understanding EU market direction.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: month === 9 ? "breaking" : "trending",
|
|
source: "ECOC Conference",
|
|
source_type: "conference",
|
|
suggested_angle: "ECOC takeaways: What European carriers are actually deploying (not just demoing)",
|
|
});
|
|
}
|
|
if (month >= 9 && month <= 11) {
|
|
topics.push({
|
|
title: `CIOE ${year} Shenzhen: Chinese Manufacturers Show Their Cards`,
|
|
description: "CIOE is where InnoLight, HG Genuine, and Chinese OEMs announce next-gen products. First look at the 2025 roadmap.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "CIOE Shenzhen",
|
|
source_type: "conference",
|
|
suggested_angle: "CIOE market signal: What Chinese manufacturers shipping in 12 months means for Western pricing",
|
|
});
|
|
}
|
|
if (month >= 11 || month <= 1) {
|
|
topics.push({
|
|
title: `${year} Year-End Optics Market Review: Who Won, Who Lost`,
|
|
description: "Annual review: which speeds gained share, which vendors shipped on roadmap, and what the price curves looked like.",
|
|
blog_type: "market_alert",
|
|
urgency: "hot",
|
|
source: "TIP Market Data",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: `Year-end optics market: The numbers that matter for your ${year + 1} budget`,
|
|
});
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
// Always relevant — rotate between 3 variants using day seed
|
|
const standardsTopics: HotTopic[] = [
|
|
{
|
|
title: `${year} Standards Update: IEEE 802.3 / OIF / MSA tracker`,
|
|
description: "What's ratified, what's in draft, and what it means for your next-gen optics roadmap.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "IEEE / OIF / MSA",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Standards reality check: Which specs are production-ready vs. still in committee",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `SFF-8024 Transceiver Management Update ${year}: What's New in the Identifier Registry`,
|
|
description: "The SFF Committee's transceiver identifier registry updated again. New form factors, management interfaces, and what switches need firmware updates to support them.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "SFF Committee",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "SFF registry changes: The low-level updates that cause high-level compatibility headaches",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `OIF CEI-112G Standard: What It Means for the Next Generation of DAC and AOC`,
|
|
description: "CEI-112G is the electrical interface spec that enables 112G PAM4 — the building block of 400G and 800G. What it enables and when it matters.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "emerging",
|
|
source: "OIF CEI",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "CEI-112G explained: Why the electrical interface standard matters more than the optics spec",
|
|
},
|
|
];
|
|
const seed = getDaySeed() + 3;
|
|
topics.push(seededShuffle(standardsTopics, seed)[0]);
|
|
|
|
return topics;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
/**
|
|
* Seeded shuffle — same seed = same order. Uses day-of-year as seed so
|
|
* topics rotate daily but are stable within the same day.
|
|
*/
|
|
function seededShuffle<T>(arr: T[], seed: number): T[] {
|
|
const out = [...arr];
|
|
let s = seed;
|
|
for (let i = out.length - 1; i > 0; i--) {
|
|
s = (s * 1664525 + 1013904223) & 0x7fffffff;
|
|
const j = s % (i + 1);
|
|
[out[i], out[j]] = [out[j], out[i]];
|
|
}
|
|
return out;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function getDaySeed(): number {
|
|
const now = new Date();
|
|
const start = new Date(now.getFullYear(), 0, 0);
|
|
const dayOfYear = Math.floor((now.getTime() - start.getTime()) / 86400000);
|
|
return now.getFullYear() * 1000 + dayOfYear;
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function getResearchTopics(year: number): HotTopic[] {
|
|
const ALL_RESEARCH: HotTopic[] = [
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Silicon Photonics: From Lab to Production — Where Are We Really?",
|
|
description: "Intel, Broadcom, Marvell, and startups (Lightmatter, Ayar Labs) are all pushing SiPho. But production yields and packaging costs tell a different story.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Industry Research",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Silicon Photonics reality: What works in production vs what's still a conference demo",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "LPO vs DSP: The Power Efficiency Battle That Reshapes Data Centers",
|
|
description: "Linear-drive pluggable optics promise 50% power savings by eliminating the DSP. But interop and reach limitations are real.",
|
|
blog_type: "comparison",
|
|
urgency: "emerging",
|
|
source: "OIF / University Research",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "LPO honest assessment: When the power savings justify the interop risk",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `CPO Roadmap ${year}: Co-Packaged Optics Timeline Reality Check`,
|
|
description: "Broadcom showed CPO demos at OFC. But what's the real timeline for rack-level deployment?",
|
|
blog_type: "hype_cycle",
|
|
urgency: "emerging",
|
|
source: "Broadcom / Intel / TSMC",
|
|
source_type: "manufacturer",
|
|
suggested_angle: "CPO: Why it's 3 years away (and has been for the last 5 years)",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "1.6T Optics: Who Ships First and What the Specs Actually Mean",
|
|
description: "Vendors are announcing 1.6T but the standards aren't final. Here's what's real, what's vaporware, and what lead times to expect.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "emerging",
|
|
source: "OIF / IEEE",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "1.6T reality check: Sorting PR from actual shipping hardware",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "OSFP vs QSFP-DD: The 400G/800G Form Factor Fight Isn't Over",
|
|
description: "Both coexist in the market. Hyperscalers went OSFP for 800G; enterprise is on QSFP-DD. What does this mean for your optics inventory?",
|
|
blog_type: "comparison",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "QSFP-DD MSA / OSFP MSA",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Form factor fragmentation: How to not end up with the wrong 800G optics",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Coherent ZR vs ZR+: The Spec Sheet Lies You Need to Know",
|
|
description: "OpenZR+ vs 400ZR implementations from different vendors are NOT interoperable by default. The details matter.",
|
|
blog_type: "comparison",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "OIF Implementation Agreement",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Coherent interop truth: Why your ZR link won't work with mixed vendors out of the box",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "BiDi Optics: The Most Misunderstood Product in the Catalog",
|
|
description: "Single-strand operation sounds simple. The wavelength pairing rules, fiber polarity requirements, and what goes wrong when teams mix Tx/Rx wavelengths.",
|
|
blog_type: "tutorial",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Field Cases",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "BiDi done right: Why half your BiDi deployments have the wrong wavelength on the wrong end",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Transceiver DDM/DOM: How to Actually Use the Diagnostic Data",
|
|
description: "Every modern optic reports temperature, voltage, Tx power, Rx power, and bias current. Most teams never check it. Here's what the numbers tell you.",
|
|
blog_type: "tutorial",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "SFF Committee / Field Data",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "DDM as a maintenance tool: Catching failing optics before they take down your link",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `800G Deployment Wave: What Hyperscalers Are Actually Installing in ${year}`,
|
|
description: "Meta, Google, and Microsoft are ordering 800G at scale. What form factors, vendors, and reach variants are winning?",
|
|
blog_type: "market_alert",
|
|
urgency: "hot",
|
|
source: "LightCounting / Hyperscaler CapEx Reports",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "800G market signal: What hyperscaler spending tells enterprise about their 2027 refresh cycle",
|
|
},
|
|
];
|
|
// Pick 3 different research topics per day
|
|
const shuffled = seededShuffle(ALL_RESEARCH, getDaySeed() + 1);
|
|
return shuffled.slice(0, 3);
|
|
}
|
|
|
|
function getEvergreenTopics(year: number): HotTopic[] {
|
|
const ALL_EVERGREEN: HotTopic[] = [
|
|
{
|
|
title: `The ${year} Transceiver Buying Guide: OEM vs Compatible`,
|
|
description: "Updated pricing data, vendor quality tiers, and the procurement playbook for every speed class.",
|
|
blog_type: "buying_guide",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "TIP Price Data",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Stop overpaying: The definitive OEM vs compatible decision framework with real numbers",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `400G Migration Playbook: From 100G to 400G in 12 Months`,
|
|
description: "Step-by-step migration guide including cabling, switch selection, optics procurement, and what goes wrong.",
|
|
blog_type: "migration_guide",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Field Experience",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Migration horror stories and how to avoid them: The 100G→400G field guide",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "MPO Connector Survival Guide: Polarity, Cleaning, and Why Your Links Keep Dying",
|
|
description: "The #1 cause of 40G/100G/400G deployment failures. Everything you need to know about MPO.",
|
|
blog_type: "tutorial",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Support Cases",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Your $350 optic isn't broken — your connector is dirty. The MPO reality guide.",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Transceiver Compatibility: Why Your New Optic Doesn't Work and How to Fix It",
|
|
description: "DOM lockout, software coding, MSA compliance, and the vendor unlock codes that nobody documents.",
|
|
blog_type: "tutorial",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Support Cases",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Compatibility reality: The 4 reasons optics get rejected and exactly how to resolve each one",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `${year} Price Tracker: Which Transceiver Speeds Are Getting Cheaper Fastest?`,
|
|
description: "25G SFP28 hit floor pricing. 100G QSFP28 is still dropping. 400G is at inflection. Where to buy now, where to wait.",
|
|
blog_type: "market_alert",
|
|
urgency: "hot",
|
|
source: "TIP Price Observations",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Buy signal analysis: The optic speeds where waiting 6 months saves 30%",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Power Budget 101: Why Your 10km LR Link Only Reaches 7km",
|
|
description: "TX power, receiver sensitivity, fiber loss, connector loss, and the splice margin most engineers forget to account for.",
|
|
blog_type: "tutorial",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Field Experience",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Loss budget done right: The calculation every engineer should do before ordering LR optics",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Cisco vs Arista vs Juniper Optics Lock-In: The True Cost Analysis",
|
|
description: "OEM optics from major vendors carry a 300-800% premium. Here's the legal situation, the unlock process, and when it's actually worth paying OEM prices.",
|
|
blog_type: "buying_guide",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Vendor Pricing / Legal Docs",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "OEM lock-in economics: The numbers behind why compatible optics work and when they don't",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `40G End-of-Life: What to Do With Your QSFP+ Inventory in ${year}`,
|
|
description: "40G is in decline. Resale values, upgrade paths to 100G, and when to write off the inventory.",
|
|
blog_type: "market_alert",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "TIP Price Data",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "40G sunset planning: The migration math that justifies skipping 40G refresh entirely",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "DAC vs AOC vs Optic+Cable: The Short-Reach Decision Tree",
|
|
description: "For ≤5m: DAC. For 5-100m: AOC. For >100m: pluggable. But the breakeven points shift with port density and heat budgets.",
|
|
blog_type: "comparison",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Field Data",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Short-reach optics: The decision framework that saves budget without sacrificing reliability",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Gray Optics: Market Pricing vs New — When the Risk Is Worth It",
|
|
description: "eBay, Alibaba, and gray market brokers sell transceiver inventory at 40-70% below retail. What to check, what can go wrong, and what the warranty situation actually is.",
|
|
blog_type: "buying_guide",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "Market Research",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Gray market guide: The due diligence checklist that separates a deal from a disaster",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: `Wavelength Division Multiplexing in ${year}: CWDM4 vs LWDM vs DWDM Decision Guide`,
|
|
description: "WDM optics for data center interconnect. The wavelength plans, the reach limits, and when DWDM pays off vs CWDM.",
|
|
blog_type: "technology_deep_dive",
|
|
urgency: "trending",
|
|
source: "IEEE / OIF",
|
|
source_type: "research",
|
|
suggested_angle: "WDM selection guide: Matching wavelength technology to your actual DCI requirements",
|
|
},
|
|
{
|
|
title: "Temperature-Hardened Optics: When ETSI Class 4.1 Actually Matters",
|
|
description: "Industrial, outdoor, and telecom deployments require optics rated for -40°C to +85°C. What the specs mean and which products are actually qualified.",
|
|
blog_type: "buying_guide",
|
|
urgency: "emerging",
|
|
source: "ETSI / Telecom Field Cases",
|
|
source_type: "internal_data",
|
|
suggested_angle: "Industrial optics selection: When your data center optic will kill your outdoor deployment",
|
|
},
|
|
];
|
|
// Pick 4 different evergreen topics per day (rotates daily via seeded shuffle)
|
|
const shuffled = seededShuffle(ALL_EVERGREEN, getDaySeed() + 2);
|
|
return shuffled.slice(0, 4);
|
|
}
|